National Weather Service releases dire Hurricane Milton storm surge video

"You still have time to get out."
 By 
Mark Kaufman
 on 
A view of Hurricane Milton as it churns through the Gulf of Mexico on Oct. 7, 2024.
A view of Hurricane Milton as it churns through the Gulf of Mexico on Oct. 7, 2024. Credit: CIRA / NOAA

Hurricane Milton, a storm expanding in size, will force high surges of ocean into the west Florida coast.

In response, the National Weather Service's Tampa Bay office released a succinct, stark video showing the consequences of the looming hurricane, which exploited warm waters and favorable conditions to intensify into a monstrous cyclone.

"We're going to witness some historic, life-threatening storm surge," meteorologist Christianne Pearce says in the video, posted online.

At 20 seconds in, Pearce shows the average height of storm surge from recent Hurricane Helene, which was over most people's heads at seven feet. Then, the meteorologist shows the 10-foot surge expected for southwest Florida, which is the height of most home ceilings. Finally, at one minute, Pearce shows the 10 to 15 feet of surge expected where the storm's eyewall — where a hurricane's strongest winds rotate around the eye — makes landfall, along with areas directly south of the landfall.

"Fifteen feet is to our roof."

"Fifteen feet is to our roof," Pearce says, pointing to the top of the Tampa weather service office while urging people to heed evacuation orders.

The storm's track may change slightly over the coming two days, but the big picture is clear. The west coast of central Florida will see a historic storm. It will likely make landfall Wednesday night.

"If the storm stays on the current track, it will be the worst storm to impact the Tampa area in over 100 years," the National Weather Service said.

Though a number of factors influence the formation of strong hurricanes (opposing winds that can break apart storms, moist or dry air, etc.), a vital influence is warm sea surface temperatures of over 80 degrees Fahrenheit (27 degrees Celsius). Warm oceans act as jet fuel for hurricanes, storm scientists explain. That's because warmer oceans fuel tropical storms as more water naturally evaporates into the air, giving storms energy and moisture to intensify. Crucially, the oceans, which absorb most of the heat created by burning fossil fuels, are relentlessly warming.

Today, Atlantic hurricanes are already twice as likely to develop from a milder storm into a major hurricane.

Mashable Image
Mark Kaufman
Science Editor

Mark was the science editor at Mashable. After working as a ranger with the National Park Service, he started a reporting career after seeing the extraordinary value in educating people about the happenings on Earth, and beyond.

He's descended 2,500 feet into the ocean depths in search of the sixgill shark, ventured into the halls of top R&D laboratories, and interviewed some of the most fascinating scientists in the world.

Mashable Potato

Recommended For You
Winter storm snowfall videos: Social media reveals how hard the storm is hitting
Snow falls during a winter storm in Kansas City, Missouri, US


What does Netflix's purchase of Warner Bros. mean for theatrical releases?
The Warner Bros. logo on a phone against a backdrop of Netflix logos.

Take a bite out of these National Sandwich Day deals
pink and orange background with logos for Jersey Mike's, Firehouse Subs, Subway, Potbelly, Jimmy John's, and Panera

PSA: It's National Sex Toy Day (and yes, that's a great excuse to buy a new vibrator)
red eye mask on a bed

More in Science

Google debuts 'Me Meme' feature in Google Photos app
A sign of US technology company Google displayed during the World Economic Forum (WEF)


Winter storm snowfall levels: See online how many inches have fallen nationwide
A man up to his waist in snow

Stay prepared with the Bluetti AC180 Portable Power Station for its lowest price ever
Bluetti AC180 Portable Power Station on orange and pink abstract background

Trending on Mashable
NYT Connections hints today: Clues, answers for January 25, 2026
Connections game on a smartphone

Wordle today: Answer, hints for January 25, 2026
Wordle game on a smartphone

NYT Strands hints, answers for January 25, 2026
A game being played on a smartphone.

Best 65-inch+ TVs for watching in dark and bright rooms
Samsung TV arranged on gray backdrop featuring colorful oval graphic

NYT Connections hints today: Clues, answers for January 24, 2026
Connections game on a smartphone
The biggest stories of the day delivered to your inbox.
These newsletters may contain advertising, deals, or affiliate links. By clicking Subscribe, you confirm you are 16+ and agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
Thanks for signing up. See you at your inbox!